Will "Dispatch from Anthropic v. Department of War ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
GeopolíticaOne-OffIA1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.9%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 17 minutos
27 mar 26, 2:31 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Dispatch from Anthropic v.
- Department of War Preliminary Injunction Motion Hearing is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.