Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 85.6%
No 85.6%Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado2 nov 23, 22:25 UTC15 ene 31, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if any nuclear weapon with a yield of at least 0.05 kilotons of TNT is detonated between January 1st 2030 and December 31st 2030.
- Includes offensive use, tests and accidental detonations.
- Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Plumbbob_Boltzmann_001.jpg