Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.1%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 33 minutos
4 abr 26, 11:33 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
Manifold MarketsChina to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhen will Russia attack Europe with military force?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
- The ship must not be decommissioned but must be actively in service.
- The perpetrator could be a state’s navy, a special operations unit, a terrorist organization, or a lone terrorist. “Sunk” means that the ship is rendered unseaworthy and at least 50% of its above-water superstructure is submerged.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, a cruise ship is sunk by a state military force, a terrorist organization, or a lone actor.
- For the purpose of this market: