Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
US PoliticsGeopolíticaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 86%
Pronosticadores
53
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado8 ene 25, 0:09 UTC31 dic 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- Está previsto que Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.