Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69.4%
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102
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 26, 11:47 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if Trump deploys U.S. military forces to Greenland without Danish/Greenlandic consent in an attempt to establish control over any portion of its territory, AND leaves office before January 20, 2029 via:
- Impeachment and Senate conviction, OR
- Resolves NO if he deploys such forces and completes his term (or leaves due to e.g. death or incapacitation)
- Resolves N/A if no unauthorized military deployment to Greenland occurs.
- Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Removal via military coup or other non-constitutional means would resolve NO.
- The market specifically tracks removal through constitutional accountability (impeachment/conviction) or political pressure (resignation) only.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland??
- Está previsto que Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Trump deploys U.S. military forces to Greenland without Danish/Greenlandic consent in an attempt to establish control over any portion of its territory, AND leaves office before January 20, 2029 via: