Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualOther 86.3%+1.1ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
112
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+8.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado3 may 24, 22:57 UTC1 ene 27, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
FutuurIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
FutuurReglas
Other is the "after everything else" option.
- If it gets to more than 50% I'll add an answer.
- I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date in this Wikipedia page:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war
- [image]Details:
- I will update the link in the event of change in name or split of the article.