Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (94.6%)
Resuelto: 12 oct 2026, 13:49
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Yes
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
95%
ConsensoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 13 oct 2026, 0:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes94.6%
No5.400000000000006%
Ganada
Perdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Over 99% of the internet across borders travels through undersea fiber optic cables.
- There are about 500 of these cables, and each year about 200 need to be repaired (mostly due to accidents).
- It is trivial for military to deliberately break these cables.
- There are in most cases redundancies, but if enough break there could be massive outages across the internet.
- An outage affecting a single country will be enough for this market to resolve to YES.
- An outage that reduces speeds significantly even though there is still connectivity will resolve to YES.
