Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualUS or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026 38.4%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-1.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado21 oct 26, 17:13 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on credible reporting from major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg), official military/government statements, or verified satellite imagery analysis from established nonpartisan monitoring organizations (e.g., CSIS, ISIS).
- Any user may add new answers.
- For each listed option, the criteria are defined as follows:
- the named outcome:
