Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTecnologíaSpaceGeopolíticaMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDoes not visit 65.3%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado2 ago 26, 17:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the month in 2026 in which Elon Musk physically visits a country in the Middle East or to “the named outcome”.
- Definition of “Visit”: Elon Musk must physically enter the territory of any Middle Eastern country.
- Definition of “Middle East”: the region is strictly defined as the sovereign territory or designated administrative zones of the following 17 countries/territories: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkiye, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- Exclusions: Remote or virtual appearances (such as his video-link address to the Tel Aviv Smart Mobility Summit in May 2026) do not qualify as a physical visit.
- Brief airport layovers where he does not leave the terminal will not count.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Does not visit al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria