Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolíticaUS Politics4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.5%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado16 mar 26, 22:35 UTC31 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketReglas
Market will resolve early in 2027 based on official data from
- https://www.trade.gov/i-94-arrivals-program
- So far, January preliminary data is out and it shows a 2.6% uptick in arrivals from the middle east.
- Iranian arrivals were already down 85% in January.
- Arrivals from Israel Turkey and UAE were higher.
- Flight disruptions will push data in one direction; a desire by citizens to get out of the region could push it in another.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 23,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 312,6 mil €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+6.1pt59.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 153,3 mil €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025??
- Está previsto que Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025? se resuelva el 31 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Market will resolve early in 2027 based on official data from