PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualAnthropic 86%
Calidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
786,7 €
Liquidez
20,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.2%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+5.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
30 ene 26, 22:4531 dic 27, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Anthropic86%
Comparar plataformas· Anthropic
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general80% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 83% | 0pt | 257,4 € | 68 mil € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta páginaMás activa | Alta | 86% | +3pt | 786,7 € | 20,5 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets80% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 85% | +2pt | — | — | anteayer | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
1.0%13a
+1.0%83%
20%
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total275,3 mil €
Volumen 24h257,4 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
5m
+2.3%85.3%
-2.3%14.7%
Pronóstico comunitario71 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$8983 jul20d de datos22 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10,2 mil €$2.25–$2.5T: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
3,6 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
3,6 mil €↑$1.15T: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
3,1 mil €December 31,: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
2,8 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 mil €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.