PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Anthropic 96%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
41,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
96.4% / 96.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
30 ene 26, 22:45 UTC31 dic 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Anthropic es del 94%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 2 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Anthropic 94% · 2 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Polymarket cotiza Anthropic al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Kalshi.