KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualOpenAI 20%
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
332,5 €
Liquidez
68 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
23.5%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
6 ago 25, 23:301 ene 40, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
OpenAI20%
Comparar plataformas· Anthropic
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1a
86%
14%
79 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez media
Volumen total205,1 mil €
Volumen 24h786,8 €
POLYMARKET
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
5m
+2.3%85.3%
-2.3%14.7%
Pronóstico comunitario71 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3792 jul21d de datos22 jul
Mercados Relacionados
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
3,6 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
OpenAI IPO by which date?
3,6 mil €December: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Anthropic IPO by __?
2,9 mil €December 31,: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?
1,6 mil €↑$875B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
294,7 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 30%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAnthropic closing market cap on IPO day?
87,8 €1 trillion or higher?: 90.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.