Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 20 jul 2026, 1:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualOpenAI 14.7%-2.3%
Pronosticadores
71
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado anteayer
Desactualizado6 dic 25, 22:2431 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
OpenAI15%
Comparar plataformas· Anthropic
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1a
86%
14%
79 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez media
Volumen total205,1 mil €
Volumen 24h786,8 €
POLYMARKET
También disponible en Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
13a
+1.0%83%
20%
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total275,4 mil €
Volumen 24h332,5 €
KALSHIReglas
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$20010 jul10d de datos20 jul
Mercados Relacionados
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
3,6 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
OpenAI IPO by which date?
3,6 mil €December: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
3,5 mil €↑$1.15T: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETastral.sh acquisition market
569,2 €OpenAI/Astral publicly deprecates or archives any current Astral project (uv, ruff, ty): 13.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
359,8 €No IPO by December 31, 2026: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
294,7 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 30%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecrypt
NVIDIA Nemotron AI Challenge Offers Lessons on Improving Model ReasoningBlockchain.NewsReglas
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.