Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAnthropic 93.6%
Pronosticadores
79
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado6 dic 25, 22:24 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
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PolymarketAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
PolymarketReglas
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Anthropic al 94% a fecha de 7 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket, Kalshi.