Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado21 abr 26, 22:22 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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ForecastExReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if either Anthropic or OpenAI publicly announces, releases, or makes available for purchase a standardized, consumer-facing subscription plan priced at exactly US$2,000 per month.
- The plan must be available for subscription at this specific price point at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from Anthropic (e.g., official blog, verified social media channels) or OpenAI (e.g., official blog, verified social media channels), or credible reporting from major technology news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, The Verge, TechCrunch) confirming the launch or availability of such a tier.
- Custom-quoted enterprise contracts, usage-based billing, or agreements that do not feature a standardized US$2,000/month subscription tier do not count toward a YES resolution.
- If no such standardized plan is introduced by either company by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Mercados abiertos
AI
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria