Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual>=$100B 92.6%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado3 may 26, 12:31 UTC29 feb 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves on highest reported annualized run rate or annual recurring revenue or 4 x quarterly revenue for either Anthropic or OpenAI, from company disclosures or established media outlets, for revenue rate achieved by December 31, 2027 (can be reported later).
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza >=$100B al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027? se resuelva el 29 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves on highest reported annualized run rate or annual recurring revenue or 4 x quarterly revenue for either Anthropic or OpenAI, from company disclosures or established media outlets, for revenue rate achieved by December 31, 2027 (can be reported later).