third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffTecnología9mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado23 may 26, 16:58 UTC1 jul 27, 16:55 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?
- could resolve to my opinion or some tens of billions donated within the first year after both labs have ipo’d.
- reference: https://open.substack.com/pub/nanransohoff/p/the-third-wave-of-american-philanthropy?r=2jhh1&utm_medium=ios
- Update 2026-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment):
- New commitments/pledges that are hard to wiggle out of (not just actual grants) can count as evidence for YES resolution, or could at least contribute to a percentage resolution.
- Political donations may count if they are primarily directed towards candidates that are running on charitable causes (e.g., animal welfare, AI safety)
Mercados abiertos
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 48,8 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 resultados más
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO??
- Está previsto que third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?