third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
Eventos corporativosIAOne-OffTecnología8m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70%
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Desactualizado23 may 26, 16:58 UTC1 jul 27, 16:55 UTC
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work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?
- could resolve to my opinion or some tens of billions donated within the first year after both labs have ipo’d.
- reference: https://open.substack.com/pub/nanransohoff/p/the-third-wave-of-american-philanthropy?r=2jhh1&utm_medium=ios
- Update 2026-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment):
- New commitments/pledges that are hard to wiggle out of (not just actual grants) can count as evidence for YES resolution, or could at least contribute to a percentage resolution.
- Political donations may count if they are primarily directed towards candidates that are running on charitable causes (e.g., animal welfare, AI safety)
