Post US Midterms 2026 Iran Conflict props
Materias primasOne-OffAccionesPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolíticaOriente MedioElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualIf the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later? 55%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado24 oct 26, 18:35 UTC15 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve individually to YES, NO, or N/A based on whether its specific condition is met between November 4, 2026, and the date specified in the option.
- Options containing conditional clauses ("If...") resolve N/A if their qualifying precondition does not occur during the specified evaluation window.
- "If the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later?":
- Precondition: Confirmed military kinetic strike conducted by the US military or Israeli Defense Forces against a target located within Iranian sovereign territory between November 4, 2026, 00:00 UTC and November 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, reported by credible international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP).
