Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual🇮🇷 Iran 53.9%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado4 mar 26, 12:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If there is a nuclear detonation in 2026, resolves YES to all countries listed that detonate nuclear weapons in 2026, and NO to all countries that didn't.
- Otherwise, all options resolve N/A. Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nuclear tests (non-combat detonations) count toward resolution, not just wartime use.
