Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 72%
Pronosticadores
72
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado14 feb 24, 10:47 UTC21 feb 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHighest-altitude nuclear explosion record broken before 2035?
Manifold MarketsIn which country's territory will the next nuclear explosion of any type occur?
Manifold MarketsHow many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion?
Manifold MarketsU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Here is the history of Nuclear Explosions :)
- September 2017: The most recent confirmed nuclear test occurred in North Korea.
- 2006, 2009, 2013, 2016, and 2017: North Korea conducted nuclear tests.
- 1998: India and Pakistan, non-signatories, last tested nuclear weapons.
- July 11, 1958: A nuclear weapon test occurred at Bikini Atoll with a yield of 9.3 megatons.
- September 19, 1962: A nuclear weapon test occurred at Novaya Zemlya.