U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaAmérica LatinaPolítica de EE. UU.2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
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Referencia guardada
No 95%
No 95%Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
21,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
7,2 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
31 ene 26, 0:24 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
- A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
- Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.