U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin AmericaUS Politics3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
21 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.9% / 3.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
31 ene 26, 0:24 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
- A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
- Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
