Prediction Markets Today
A daily briefing on what moved, what opened, what is expiring, and what just resolved across prediction markets.
Last updated: Sep 13, 1:58 PM
12 of 12 venues liveSource health
Biggest Moves Today
10
Newly Opened
10
Expiring Soon
10
Just Resolved
10
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 13?
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 13?
Moved Outcome
2,500
Probability Shift
87.1% → 6%
24h Volume
$95.3K
71 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
ETH
KALSHIDiesel prices this week
KALSHIDiesel prices this week
Moved Outcome
Above $6.30
Probability Shift
95% → 4%
24h Volume
$7.5K
64 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
POLYMARKETEthereum price on September 13?
POLYMARKETEthereum price on September 13?
Moved Outcome
2,400-2,500
Probability Shift
12.6% → 93%
24h Volume
$8.9K
70 • Medium quality0pt disagreementUpdated 4 minutes ago
ETH
POLYMARKETLoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Promotion Playoffs
POLYMARKETLoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Promotion Playoffs
Moved Outcome
Any Player Quadra Kill
Probability Shift
28% → 91%
24h Volume
$28.1K
74 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHILecce vs Monza
KALSHILecce vs Monza
Moved Outcome
Lecce
Probability Shift
35% → 84%
24h Volume
$204K
89 • High quality48pt disagreementUpdated 1 minute ago
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
Moved Outcome
Above 37
Probability Shift
36% → 95%
24h Volume
$41.2K
74 • Medium quality0pt disagreementUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
Moved Outcome
Above 4.3260
Probability Shift
66% → 12%
24h Volume
$111.6K
74 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
POLYMARKETLEC Summer Split 2026: MVP
POLYMARKETLEC Summer Split 2026: MVP
Moved Outcome
Caliste
Probability Shift
70.9% → 8%
24h Volume
$32K
66 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIHeerenveen vs Telstar: Total Goals
KALSHIHeerenveen vs Telstar: Total Goals
Moved Outcome
Over 2.5 goals scored
Probability Shift
71% → 9%
24h Volume
$31.7K
66 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
POLYMARKETBrowns vs. Jaguars
POLYMARKETBrowns vs. Jaguars
Moved Outcome
Browns O/U 34.5
Probability Shift
4.5% → 50%
24h Volume
$145K
74 • Medium qualityUpdated 1 minute ago
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $76,735.82 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$367.1K
Yes99%
89 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
BTCKALSHIETH 15 min · $2,475.05 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$22.2K
Yes96%
80 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
ETHKALSHISOL 15 min · $99.9000 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$13.7K
Yes98%
78 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
SOLKALSHILevante vs Barcelona: Goalscorer
Opened
Sep 13, 1:25 PM
24h Volume
$23.1K
Raphinha: 1+62%
67 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIXRP 15 min · $1.3382 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$10.7K
Yes98%
77 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
XRPKALSHIBNB 15 min · $716.12 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$4K
Yes99%
73 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
BNBKALSHIHYPE 15 min · $77.4255 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$2.8K
Yes100%
73 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIDOGE 15 min · $0.0832589 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$3.3K
Yes99%
72 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
DOGEKALSHIZEC 15 min · $1,088.3322 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$2.7K
Yes100%
70 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
ZECKALSHINEAR 15 min · $2.2988 target
Opened
Sep 13, 1:45 PM
24h Volume
$1.4K
Yes97%
65 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $76,735.82 target
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$367.1K
Yes99%
89 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
BTCKALSHIBTC price on Sep 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$861K
$76,700 or above99%
74 • Medium qualityUpdated 1 minute ago
BTC
POLYMARKETFK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Rostov
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$26K
FK Spartak Moskva66%
82 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIETH 15 min · $2,475.05 target
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$22.2K
Yes96%
80 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
ETH
POLYMARKETStjarnan Gardabae vs. IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$9.5K
Stjarnan Gardabae55%
78 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHISOL 15 min · $99.9000 target
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$13.7K
Yes98%
78 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
SOLKALSHIETH price on Sep 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$44.1K
$2,465 or above99%
67 • Medium qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
ETHKALSHIXRP 15 min · $1.3382 target
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$10.7K
Yes98%
77 • High qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
XRPKALSHIHow many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/6-9/12)
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$10.1K
At least 999%
48 • Low qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
KALSHIBTC price range on Sep 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$36.6K
$76,800 to 76,899.9991%
47 • Low qualityUpdated 4 minutes ago
BTC
FORECASTEXWill the lowest price of XRP fall below $1 in 2026?
Winning Outcome
Yes (95%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$200
32 • Low qualityStale · Updated 32 days ago
XRPFORECASTEXWill Reddit Inc (RDDT) be added to the S&P 500 by the end of 2026?
Winning Outcome
Yes (89%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$150
18 • Low qualityStale · Updated 29 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Lindsey Graham win the South Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?
Winning Outcome
No (94%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$70
18 • Low qualityStale · Updated 61 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Ryan Fazio win the Connecticut Republican primary election for Governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
Yes (98%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
17 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Erin Stewart win the Connecticut Republican primary election for Governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
No (97%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
16 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Marsha Blackburn win the Tennessee Republican primary for governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
Yes (98%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
16 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Betsy McCaughey win the Connecticut Republican primary election for Governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
No (98%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
15 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
FORECASTEXWill John Rose win the Tennessee Republican primary for governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
No (98%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
15 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Tim Burchett win the Tennessee Republican primary for governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
No (96%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
15 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
FORECASTEXWill Mark Green win the Tennessee Republican primary for governor in 2026?
Winning Outcome
No (97%)
Resolved
—
24h Volume
$0
15 • Low qualityStale · Updated 22 days ago
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
24h Volume
$6.4M
Total Vol
$143.1M
25 bps increase78%
89 • High quality10pt disagreementUpdated 1 minute ago
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
24h Volume
$1.8M
Total Vol
$97.3M
Los Angeles R14%
89 • High quality0pt disagreementUpdated 1 minute ago
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
24h Volume
$1.9M
Total Vol
$62M
Hike 25bps80%
89 • High quality0pt disagreementUpdated 1 minute ago
KALSHILevante vs Barcelona
24h Volume
$2M
Total Vol
$2.7M
Barcelona84%
98 • High qualityUpdated 1 minute ago
KALSHIHeisman Trophy Winner
24h Volume
$1.5M
Total Vol
$21M
Darian Mensah14%
89 • High quality0pt disagreementUpdated 1 minute ago
Largest trades today
Where sources disagree
Source probabilities differ across markets. Check the source pages before trading.
Labels reflect the resolution data we've verified for each source — not the market's reliability.
Liverpool vs Tottenham40 pp gap
Tottenham:Polymarket23%vsKalshi63%View comparison
Polymarket23%Kalshi63%Le Mans FC vs. Racing Club de Lens - First Team to Score27 pp gap
Le Mans FC:Polymarket33%vsKalshi6%View comparison
Polymarket33%Kalshi6%Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Austin FC: First Team to Score24 pp gap
Austin FC:Polymarket24%vsKalshi0%View comparison
Polymarket24%Kalshi0%Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?22 pp gap
No:
Limitless69%vsPolymarket91%View comparison
Limitless69%Polymarket91%Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Lodz22 pp gap
Widzew Lodz:Polymarket22%vsKalshi0%View comparison
Polymarket22%Kalshi0%Probabilities can be stale or settle differently across sources.
Forecast accuracy
How closely each venue's prices matched real outcomes.
PolymarketWell calibrated2.3%833 markets
Manifold MarketsFairly calibrated4.2%280 markets
KalshiFairly calibrated5.7%3,018 markets
LimitlessRoughly calibrated10.8%91 markets
GeminiRoughly calibrated14.7%37 markets