Prediction Markets

Prediction Source Comparison

Compare matched prediction questions across trading markets and forecasting sources. See where probabilities align, where they diverge, and how methodology differs.

All matchesDivergence
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Which bills will become law in 2026?

177pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
79%
DEFIANCE Act
51%
Critical-minerals stockpile
50%

+11 more outcomes

$30.6 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
▼ -3pt76%
DEFIANCE Act
▲ +10pt61%
Critical-minerals stockpile
0pt50%

+15 more outcomes

$1.4 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL: Atlantic Division Winner

22pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL: Atlantic Division Winner
Tampa Bay Lightning
74%
Buffalo Sabres
13%
Montreal Canadiens
13%

+6 more outcomes

$5.9K vol 24h

Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Atlantic Division Winner
Tampa Bay Lightning
▼ -18pt56%
Buffalo Sabres
▲ +11pt24%
Montreal Canadiens
▲ +3pt16%

+6 more outcomes

$70.4 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL: Pacific Division Winner

7pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL: Pacific Division Winner
Edmonton Oilers
53%
Anaheim Ducks
42%
Vegas Golden Knights
6%

+6 more outcomes

$6.2K vol 24h

Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Pacific Division Winner
Edmonton Oilers
▼ -3pt50%
Anaheim Ducks
▼ -2pt40%
Vegas Golden Knights
▲ +1pt7%

+6 more outcomes

$54.2 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL: Metropolitan Division Winner

5pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL: Metropolitan Division Winner
Carolina Hurricanes
100%
Columbus Blue Jackets
0%
Jersey Devils
0%

+6 more outcomes

$1.8K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Metropolitan Division Winner
Carolina Hurricanes
▼ -1pt99%
Columbus Blue Jackets
▲ +2pt2%
Pittsburgh Penguins
▲ +2pt2%

+9 more outcomes

$10 vol 24h

Moderate spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner

64pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner
Nathan MacKinnon
49%
Cole Caufield
44%
Brad Marchand
0%

+99 more outcomes

$6K vol 24h

Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophy
Nathan MacKinnon
▲ +13pt62%
Cole Caufield
▼ -2pt42%
Auston Matthews
▲ +19pt19%

+99 more outcomes

$0.6 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner

21pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner
Zach Werenski
78%
Evan Bouchard
19%
Cale Makar
3%

+87 more outcomes

$2.7K vol 24h

Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy
Zach Werenski
0pt78%
Evan Bouchard
▲ +3pt22%
Brock Faber
▲ +9pt9%

+87 more outcomes

$1.8 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Virtus Bologna vs. Reyer Venezia

50pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
Virtus Bologna vs. Reyer Venezia
Virtus Bologna
73%
Reyer Venezia
27%

$8.6 vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
Reyer Venezia vs Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna
▼ -73pt0%
Reyer Venezia
▼ -27pt0%
Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Bundesliga Winner

23pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
Bundesliga Winner
Bayern Munich
99%
Dortmund
1%
Leverkusen
0%

+20 more outcomes

$3.2K vol 24h

Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
Bundesliga Winner
Bayern Munich
0pt99%
Leverkusen
▲ +17pt17%
Freiburg
▲ +2pt2%

+30 more outcomes

$1.2 vol 24h

Low liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Showing 1 - 10 out of 296

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