Prediction Markets

Prediction Source Comparison

Compare matched prediction questions across trading markets and forecasting sources. See where probabilities align, where they diverge, and how methodology differs.

All matchesDivergence
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Which bills will become law in 2026?

173pt disagreement
KalshiKalshi
Which bills will become law in 2026?
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (any length)
82%
DEFIANCE Act
78%
ROTOR Act
78%

+14 more outcomes

$5 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB
PolymarketPolymarket
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
▲ +3pt79%
DEFIANCE Act
▼ -27pt51%
Critical-minerals stockpile
▲ +15pt65%

+15 more outcomes

$1.8 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM

NHL: Pacific Division Winner

11pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL: Pacific Division Winner
Edmonton Oilers
41%
Anaheim Ducks
29%
Vegas Golden Knights
27%

+6 more outcomes

$10.5K vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Pacific Division Winner
Edmonton Oilers
▼ -4pt37%
Anaheim Ducks
▲ +11pt40%
Vegas Golden Knights
0pt27%

+6 more outcomes

$87.6 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL: Atlantic Division Winner

11pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL: Atlantic Division Winner
Tampa Bay Lightning
72%
Montreal Canadiens
19%
Buffalo Sabres
10%

+6 more outcomes

$16.2K vol 24h

Low liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Atlantic Division Winner
Tampa Bay Lightning
▲ +2pt74%
Montreal Canadiens
▼ -3pt16%
Buffalo Sabres
▲ +1pt11%

+6 more outcomes

$153.3 vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL: Metropolitan Division Winner

7pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL: Metropolitan Division Winner
Carolina Hurricanes
100%
Columbus Blue Jackets
0%
Jersey Devils
0%

+6 more outcomes

$1.8K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Metropolitan Division Winner
Carolina Hurricanes
▼ -4pt96%
Columbus Blue Jackets
▲ +2pt2%
Pittsburgh Penguins
▲ +2pt2%

+9 more outcomes

$10 vol 24h

Moderate spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner

62pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner
Nathan MacKinnon
54%
Cole Caufield
36%
Brad Marchand
0%

+99 more outcomes

$6.1K vol 24h

Medium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophy
Nathan MacKinnon
▲ +10pt64%
Cole Caufield
0pt36%
Auston Matthews
▲ +19pt19%

+99 more outcomes

$0.8 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner

25pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner
Zach Werenski
76%
Evan Bouchard
21%
Cale Makar
3%

+87 more outcomes

$2.4K vol 24h

Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy
Zach Werenski
▲ +4pt80%
Evan Bouchard
▼ -5pt16%
Brock Faber
▲ +9pt9%

+87 more outcomes

$5.6 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Virtus Bologna vs. Reyer Venezia

50pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
Virtus Bologna vs. Reyer Venezia
Virtus Bologna
73%
Reyer Venezia
27%

$8.6 vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
Reyer Venezia vs Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna
▼ -73pt0%
Reyer Venezia
▼ -27pt0%
Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Bundesliga Winner

23pt disagreement
PolymarketPolymarket
Bundesliga Winner
Bayern Munich
99%
Dortmund
1%
Leverkusen
0%

+20 more outcomes

$2.3K vol 24h

Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
KalshiKalshi
Bundesliga Winner
Bayern Munich
0pt99%
Leverkusen
▲ +17pt17%
Dortmund
▲ +2pt3%

+30 more outcomes

$1.1 vol 24h

Low liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

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