PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityPerson 1 50%Leader of 93 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$601.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 17, 26, 10:49 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Person 150%
Compare venues· Bad Bunny
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · auto | High | 16% | +3pt | $5.2K | $342.6K | 28 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 13% | 0pt | $2.4K | $601.1K | 8 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
#1 searched person on Google in 2026
1.0%5mo
16%
-1.0%13%
+1.0%8%
+11 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$639.9K
24h Vol$5.2K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
- The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global.
- The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People.
- The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking).
- This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
- This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.3k94.8%POLYMARKETWill Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? — NoPaddyAlpha2d ago
POLYMARKETWill Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? — NoPaddyAlpha2d ago$1.1k86.0%KALSHIDonald Trump — No4d ago
KALSHIDonald Trump — No4d agoVolume trend
$2.4kJul 1710d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
- The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global.
- The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People.
- The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking).
- This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
- This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released.