Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
AI
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 15, 2023, 7:18 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleFeb 17, 23, 12:00 AMMay 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”.
- GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.
- Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? resolve?
- Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? is scheduled to resolve on May 31, 2023.
- How is Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
