Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 12, 2026, 12:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingNov 11, 26, 11:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Jensen Huang Join SpaceX before 1/31/27
Manifold MarketsJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by which date?
PolymarketJensen Huang divorce by which date?
PolymarketJensen Huang leave or announce leaving as Nvidia CEO in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of Anthropic or OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at Anthropic or OpenAI, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company.
- A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of Anthropic or OpenAI will also qualify.
- Merely investing in Anthropic or OpenAI (including investments by NVIDIA), entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to either company will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
- An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
