Selected book midpoint
Microsoft · —
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Stored reference
Microsoft 33%Leader of 4 outcomes
Microsoft 33%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
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MicrosoftSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 2:32 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Microsoft
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user and carries out tasks, such as sending email and booking travel (https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/introducing-muse-personal-ai-agent/).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company launches a Muse-like personal agent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A Muse-like personal agent is an AI agent that runs on a cloud computer provided by the listed company that is dedicated to the individual user and remains assigned to that user between tasks, can begin tasks on its own, such as on a schedule or when a new email arrives, and can take actions on websites or in the user's connected accounts, such as sending email or submitting forms.
- Computing environments created for each task or session will not qualify.
- Products limited to a single type of task, such as coding, software development, email, or travel booking, offered only through an API, or sold only to businesses will not qualify.