This market resolved: Anthropic
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, 8:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Anthropic 100%+1.4ptLeader of 27 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 8:48 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Anthropic98%
OpenAI0%
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
