SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)EquitiesOne-OffTechSpaceCorporate Actions2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$9.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
3
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 9, 26, 5:44 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
- The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
