This market resolved: No release by June 30
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:39 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No release by June 30 100%+1.4ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.4 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
+4.8 pts
Market data
Updated 61 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 11:01 PMJun 30, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
No release by June 30100%
June 280%
June 290%
June 301%
June 160%
June 150%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
