Current implied probability
September 30 3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$495.1
Low liquidityComments
0
7d Change
-52.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 9:54 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify.
- Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by which date??
- Polymarket prices September 30 at 3% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by which date? resolve?
- Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by which date? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).