Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 19, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
13°C or below 49%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 4:31 AM UTCSep 21, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 20?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt98%
- October 31-0.1pt97%
- September 30-0.3pt96%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $264.4K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.6M
- 24h Vol
- $99.9K
KALSHIWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Before Nov 1, 202697%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-1.0pt96%
- Total Vol
- $363.7K
- 24h Vol
- $82.1K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $42.3M
- 24h Vol
- $47.2K
KALSHIBangladesh vs China
- Bangladesh51%
- China49%
- Total Vol
- $307.6K
- 24h Vol
- $34.1K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-1.5pt87.9%
- Moonshot+3.3pt10.1%
- Z.ai+0.1pt2%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 20?
- Taipei Mayor Election Winner
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 21??
- Polymarket prices 13°C or below at 49% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 21? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 21? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 21? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.