Current implied probability
10°C or below 47%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$228
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt98%
- October 31-2.0pt96%
- September 30-1.9pt94%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $51K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No89.1%
- Yes10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $32.4K
POLYMARKETPuerto Rico/China vs. France
- France+7.2pt100%
- Puerto Rico/China-7.2pt0%
- Total Vol
- $26.7K
- 24h Vol
- $26.7K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $26.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- 32°C+20.5pt47.1%
- 31°C-16.0pt38.2%
- 30°C-4.5pt6.9%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.0pt70%
- Moonshot-2.5pt25%
- Z.ai-0.2pt3%
+8 more outcomes
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
- Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12??
- Polymarket prices 10°C or below at 47% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12? is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.