This market resolved: 2°C
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 4:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
2°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
2°C100%
-1°C or below0%
0°C0%
1°C0%
3°C0%
4°C0%
5°C0%
6°C0%
7°C0%
8°C0%
9°C or higher0%
2°CWon
-1°C or belowLost
0°CLost
1°CLost
3°CLost
4°CLost
5°CLost
6°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°C or higherLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.