PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 34%+
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 10:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
34%+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 7:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
22% to 26%0%
26% to 30%0%
<22%0%
34%+100%
30% to 34%0%
34%+Won
22% to 26%Lost
26% to 30%Lost
30% to 34%Lost
<22%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
- The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
- If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.