Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
CommoditiesOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East21d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.2
Liquidity
$24.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.5% / 2.6%
Spread
1.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 1:46 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
- An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
