KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 86,000 MW 99%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$36.1K
Liquidity
$25K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 4:55 AM UTCSep 9, 26, 4:55 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill global peak oil production occur before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketFlorida gas prices tomorrow
KalshiRules
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 8, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 8, 2026 operating day.
- Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 86,000 MW at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026 resolve?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 8, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.