Current implied probability
33°C 36.9%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$54.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 4:58 AMSep 5, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
China
KALSHIChina vs USA
- USA+1.0pt97.1%
- China+1.0pt2.9%
- Total Vol
- $202.2K
- 24h Vol
- $112.2K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31-3.0pt93%
- December 31-4.8pt93%
- September 30-3.0pt92%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.3pt95%
- Yes+0.3pt5%
- Total Vol
- $12.9M
- 24h Vol
- $40.9K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $40.5M
- 24h Vol
- $36.9K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- 33°C+6.0pt38%
- 32°C+4.5pt28.7%
- 31°C+4.0pt15.7%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
- No+2.1pt96%
- Yes-2.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $337.3K
- 24h Vol
- $11.3K
- TYLOO vs. TEC Esports
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- USA vs. China
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Top Chinese AI Company this month
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5??
- Polymarket prices 33°C at 37% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5? is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.