KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
USA 99%+4.0pt
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$85.2K
Liquidity
$87.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 12:38 AMSep 6, 26, 12:15 PM
Trends
Rules
If USA wins the China vs USA women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If China wins the China vs USA women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for USA is 98%.
CoinRithm reference USA 98% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
Open markets
ChinaKALSHIHeroic vs. Eternal Fire
- Eternal Fire99%
- Heroic1%
- Total Vol
- $301.1K
- 24h Vol
- $298.4K
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
- Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)100%
- 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)90%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $277.7K
- 24h Vol
- $275.2K
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- 2 Winner100%
- O/U 2.5 Games100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $246.6K
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- 1 Winner100%
- 2 Winner100%
- Match Winner100%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $234.1K
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: K27 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- 2 Winner100%
- Match Winner100%
- O/U 2.5 Games100%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $186.7K
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- 2 Winner63%
- O/U 2.5 Games59%
- Match Winner50%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $165.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for China vs USA?
- Kalshi prices USA at 99% as of September 3, 2026.
- When does China vs USA resolve?
- China vs USA is scheduled to resolve on September 6, 2026.
- How is China vs USA settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If USA wins the China vs USA women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is China vs USA listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.