Current implied probability
USA 98%+41.0pt
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$23.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
97.6% / 98.4%
Spread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:45 AMSep 11, 26, 12:15 PM
Trends
Rules
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:15AM ET: If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
- If the China win, the market will resolve to "China".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for USA is 98%.
CoinRithm reference USA 98% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — China vs USA · USA 98%
Open markets
China
KALSHIChina vs USA
- USA+4.0pt98%
- China-3.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $89.9K
- 24h Vol
- $85.4K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $40.5M
- 24h Vol
- $41.5K
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Alibaba18%
- Hesai18%
- Tencent+0.5pt15%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt98%
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- September 30+2.5pt95%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- Match Winner66%
- 2 Winner65%
- 1 Winner61%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.2K
POLYMARKETHsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
- Ann Kao-6.0pt86%
- Chuang Ching-cheng+0.8pt4%
- Ho Chih-yung-1.7pt3%
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Qualifier Playoffs
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USA vs. China?
- Polymarket prices USA at 98% as of September 3, 2026.
- When does USA vs. China resolve?
- USA vs. China is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is USA vs. China settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:15AM ET: If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
- Where else is USA vs. China listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.