Current implied probability
31°C 42.5%+14.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$10.6K
Liquidity
$56.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 4:58 AM UTCSep 22, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+5.2pt100%
- October 31+2.9pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $351K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
- 31°C+52.2pt100%
- 24°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Tencent+1.5pt33%
- Baidu-15.0pt33%
- CATL-5.5pt32%
KALSHIWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Before Nov 1, 2026+4.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+3.0pt98%
- Total Vol
- $440.6K
- 24h Vol
- $61.9K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.6pt96%
- Yes-0.6pt4%
- Total Vol
- $42.5M
- 24h Vol
- $53.3K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.0pt92%
- Moonshot-4.0pt7%
- Z.ai-0.3pt1%
+8 more outcomes
- What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway?
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- Taipei Mayor Election Winner
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on September 22??
- Polymarket prices 31°C at 42% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Beijing on September 22? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 22? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Beijing on September 22? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.