PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJuly 1 75%-2.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$89.3K
Liquidity
$32.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 18.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 13, 26, 8:09 PMJul 2, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
July 175%
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On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public.
- On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
- Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.