Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 53.4%
Forecasters
148
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 23, 12:30 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 6:29 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.
- Doesn't have to be a single multimodal model, the humans can do the stitching then together work.
- Counts as series of there's atleast one coherent story line across multiple episodes. #episodes must be >=3.
- Same markets for different years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-5927e7f2d735?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-12f2be941361?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-3bc444228941)
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.