Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
Forecasters
150
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Feb 27, 23, 12:30 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 6:29 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.
- Doesn't have to be a single multimodal model, the humans can do the stitching then together work.
- Counts as series of there's atleast one coherent story line across multiple episodes. #episodes must be >=3.
- Same markets for different years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-5927e7f2d735?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-12f2be941361?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-3bc444228941)