Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.8%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 30, 24, 9:34 PM UTCMar 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a cure for cancer happen before 2030
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PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached.
- This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2030.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
