Will Vermont Proposal 4 (equal protection amendment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Vermont Proposal 4 (equal protection amendment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 88% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will Vermont Proposal 4 (equal protection amendment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? resolve?

Will Vermont Proposal 4 (equal protection amendment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.

How is Will Vermont Proposal 4 (equal protection amendment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Vermont Proposal 4 (Proposal 4: Article 23 of Chapter I [Equality of rights]) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

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KALSHI

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• No91.5%
• Yes-33.0pt8.5%

Total Vol

$35.8K

24h Vol

$13.8K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202791.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202791.5%

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

• No97%
• Yes3%

Total Vol

$24.8M

24h Vol

$6.2K

POLYMARKET

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• No IPO by December 31, 2027+6.0pt69.5%
• 11–14B-0.5pt6.3%
• 14–17B5.3%

+5 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will the Clarity Act become law?

• Before Jan 1, 2028+2.0pt28%
• Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jul 1, 2027

POLYMARKET

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

• Thom Tillis+1.5pt13%
• Andy Kim+0.3pt9%
• Alex Padilla+0.6pt8%

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