Will Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?
One-OffLatin AmericaPoliticsUS PoliticsMacro & Economy1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.2%
Forecasters
429
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 3, 26, 9:51 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Venezuelans be better off at end of 2026, conditional on sanctions NOT being lifted?
Manifold MarketsWill TPS for Venezuelans be back in effect in the U.S. before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolas Maduro continue to accept migrant deportations of Venezuelans illegally residing in the US before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement?
Manifold MarketsBank of Brazil Decision in March?
PolymarketRules
The US just attacked Venezuela and reportedly captured President Maduro.
- Will Venezuelans as a whole be better off at the end of 2026 compared to the end of 2025? Resolves based on my personal knowledge and understanding.
- I will not bet in this market.
- I will try to be unbiased, but I am a Democrat who is generally doubtful of America attacking other countries.
- I am also not a fan of Maduro.
- I will attempt to find trustworthy and objective criteria and reporting to inform the resolution, and may run a poll asking what people think about whether Venezuelans are better off.
