Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.6%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 23, 26, 7:14 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?
PolymarketRules
Has to be a new VR game that will get listed (and stick for over a week) under the main 'Games' heading (not the Published by heading or Bundles heading) on the List of Valve games Wikipedia page
- If something catastrophic happens to the wikipedia page I will use my judgement for resolution.
