What are the current odds for Which game will Valve officially release first??

Manifold Markets prices Deadlock at 92% as of October 25, 2026.

How is Which game will Valve officially release first? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will also resolve the named outcome if the new Half-Life game has a different title.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Deadlock 92%

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Nov 30, 25, 2:26 AM UTCNov 30, 27, 2:24 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

I will also resolve the named outcome if the new Half-Life game has a different title.