Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 94%
Yes 94%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$2.6
Low liquidityOpen interest
$10.6
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 4:02 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Valve release Dota 2 Dark Carnival Act 2 by December 31?
PolymarketWill Valve release a new Dota 2 gameplay patch before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
PolymarketWill Valve release a new VR game before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve release a new VR game before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client.
- An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable.
- A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify.
- Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
