Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$513.3
Low liquidityOpen interest
$389.2
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jun 15, 26, 6:39 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Valve release a new VR game before the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform.
- A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions.
- An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
- For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
